WMO Warns of 80% Chance of El Niño Developing This Summer
June 03, 2026 02:46 PM IST

WMO Warns of 80% Chance of El Niño Developing This Summer

Swapna Kumbar , Bengaluru - The World Meteorological Organization has issued a fresh warning about the possible return of El Niño, saying there is an 80% chance the climate pattern will develop between June and August. The phenomenon is closely watched by governments, farmers, and disaster management agencies because of its potential to influence rainfall, temperatures, droughts, floods, and storms across many parts of the world.

According to the WMO, warming sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean are creating favorable conditions for the emergence of El Niño in the coming months. The climate pattern typically disrupts normal weather systems, often bringing hotter-than-average temperatures, reduced rainfall in some regions, and heavier precipitation in others. Scientists warn that the combination of El Niño and ongoing global warming could intensify extreme weather events, including heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, and flooding.

For countries such as India, the development of El Niño is particularly significant because it can influence the southwest monsoon, which remains crucial for agriculture, water resources, and food security. Meteorological agencies around the world are closely monitoring oceanic and atmospheric conditions, while governments are being urged to strengthen preparedness measures to minimize the impact of potential weather-related disruptions.

The WMO’s latest forecast highlights the growing importance of climate monitoring as global weather patterns become increasingly unpredictable. With an 80% likelihood of El Niño developing in the coming months, experts are urging countries to prepare for possible shifts in rainfall, temperatures, and extreme weather conditions.

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